By Keisha B. Ta-asan
SOURED LOANS held by banks fell for a sixth straight month in August, bringing the nonperforming mortgage (NPL) ratio to a 23-month low amid the economic system’s continued reopening.
Nonetheless, the decline in NPLs might sluggish within the coming months as a result of latest charge hikes by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), economists stated.
Newest knowledge from the BSP confirmed the Philippine banking sector’s gross NPL ratio inched down to three.53% as of end-August from 3.57% as of end-July and 4.51% in the identical month final 12 months.
The NPL ratio in August was the bottom in 23 months or since 3.51% in September 2020.
Unhealthy loans declined by 15% 12 months on 12 months to P418 billion as of end-August. It was additionally 0.5% decrease than the P420.254 billion seen at end-July.
Loans are thought-about nonperforming as soon as they continue to be unpaid for not less than 90 days after the due date. They’re deemed as danger property given debtors are unlikely to settle such loans.
“Continued enchancment of money flows for households and firms resulting from financial reopening helped debtors service funds and thus NPLs continued to slip,” ING Financial institution N.V. Manila Senior Economist Nicholas Antonio T. Mapa stated in an e-mail on Wednesday.
Metro Manila and a few provinces have been below essentially the most lenient alert degree since March, which meant companies are actually allowed to function at full capability.
“We predict that the continual decline of the NPL ratio is indicative of enhancing enterprise circumstances and sturdy financial restoration post-pandemic,” China Banking Corp. Chief Economist Domini S. Velasquez stated in a Viber message.
“The rise in financial actions because the economic system additional reopened possible boosted debtors’ incomes and money flows, permitting them to settle their loans on time,” she added.
BSP knowledge confirmed banks’ gross mortgage portfolio grew by 8.72% to P11.84 trillion in August from P10.89 trillion a 12 months in the past. It additionally went up by 0.5% from the P11.77 trillion in July.
In the meantime, late loans fell by 14.4% 12 months on 12 months to P496.135 billion in August, bringing the ratio to 4.19% from 5.32% a 12 months in the past.
Restructured loans rose by 4.4% to P319.892 billion, which accounted for two.7% of banks’ mortgage portfolio.
Banks continued to beef up their mortgage loss reserves to P418.059 billion in August from P410.848 billion a 12 months in the past. This introduced the ratio to three.53% from 3.77% a 12 months earlier.
The business’s NPL protection ratio improved to 100% from 83.52% in 2021.
Nonetheless, rising rates of interest might sluggish the decline in unhealthy loans.
“Shifting ahead, we anticipate the NPL ratio to stay on a downward development however the tempo of decline might sluggish, as larger rates of interest and inflation in addition to the slowdown within the economic system proceed to pose credit score dangers,” Ms. Velasquez stated.
The buyer worth index on the nationwide degree climbed by 6.9% 12 months on 12 months final month. It was the sixth straight month that inflation exceeded the central financial institution’s 2-4% goal.
To tame inflation, the BSP has raised benchmark rates of interest by a complete of 225 foundation factors to this point this 12 months, bringing the in a single day reverse repurchase charge to 4.25%.
The central financial institution earlier stated the NPL ratio of Philippine banks would possibly peak at 8.2% this 12 months. The ratio stood at 3.99% as of end-December 2021, because the economic system began to reopen.